Comments on: Euro 2008 Gambling Guide

By: Deety

Deety — Wed, 18 Jun 2008 07:09:12 +0000

Toniâ€™s Toe Jobâ€¦ It was so breathtaking that I wouldnâ€™t be surprised if he gets a phone call from Madonna....

By: Deety

Deety — Wed, 11 Jun 2008 08:44:20 +0000

Update: A few people have written in contesting my advice.

Unfortunately the rules of the competition state that only one team can win hence even if my calculations were correct the governing body of the game has wilfully alerted the natural outcome by defining some very un-statistical rules.

The data collected in Holland clearly stated that Holland would win and the data collected in Italy clearly stated that Italy would win.

Statistically there is absolutely no reason why the Italy/Holland match couldnâ€™t have finished with both teams winning. According to my figures, and I am willing to publish the data, Italy should have won 4-3 for those watching in Italy and Holland should have won 3-0 for those watching in Holland. If you were watching in a neutral country then a draw was most likely.

Basically the rules of the competition donâ€™t match reality. I suggest modifying the rules so that odd goals (1,3,5) counted double in your opponents home country and even goals (2,4,6) followed todayâ€™s rules. How would this have effected the Holland/Italy Game.

1. Holland scores.
In Holland the goal counts as 1 to holland. (1-0 to Holland)
In Italy the goal counts as 1 goal to Holland and 2 goals to Italy (2.1 to Italy)

2 Hollands second Goal would count as 1 goal to Holland (in both countries).
(2-0 in Holland) ( 2.2) in Italy.

3 Hollands third goal is odd therefore the final score would have been
In Holland (3-0 to Holland)
In Italy ( 4-3 to Italy)

Now, obviously Holland could have drawn in Italy had they been satisfied with a 2-0 win at home.

As you can see, the data states that todayâ€™s rules are not in harmony with what people want. Hence I suggest changing them.

By: William Hill

William Hill — Wed, 11 Jun 2008 08:43:11 +0000

What a load of cobblers, I took your advice on the Holland/Italy game and lost.

By: Deety

Deety — Wed, 11 Jun 2008 08:40:19 +0000

11th June – So far my betting has not earned me much therefore I will be applying a more scientific approach. I asked 100 people taken at random. Who will win the Euro 2008, over 90% answered Italy. Now we all know that polls are not 100 percent correct but even allowing for an error rate of 5 percent, these figures state clearly that Italy is going to win.

Note: Data just in indicates that you shouldnâ€™t bet on Italy if you live in one of the other European countries. Here is a breakdown of the surveys carried out in three other European countries.

France:- France to win 89%
Germany;. Germany to win 99%
Greece: Greece to win 95%

Statistically the chances of winning depends on where you place the bet, therefore I recommend travelling to each of these countries and placing a bet.